Carlos Sanchez Berzain Abogado | Estadista | Político | Politólogo
Carlos Sánchez Berzaín
February 6, 2019
(Interamerican Institute for Democracy) Cuba’s dictatorship knows that it has been pinpointed as the center of Transnational Organized Crime, owner of political power in Venezuela, Nicaragua, and Bolivia. It knows that it has lost the dictatorship in Venezuela. It knows that the next battle for freedom and democracy will be in Cuba, because Venezuela is its last external trench. Cuba controls those elements that still keep -only by force- its dictator in Venezuela and everything seems to indicate that it has made the decision to maintain such strategic position up to sacrificing Nicolas Maduro.
Venezuela has a new, legitimate and lawful government with Juan Guaido lawfully sworn in as Transitory President with a nearly 90% backing of its people, with the recognition of most countries of the world, with new ambassadors accepted as accredited in countries where they were posted, with the growing control of its economic revenue flows of Venezuela’s oil, with the backing of; the United States and most of the countries of the Americas, the Organization of American States, the European Parliament, and above it all with reason on its side.
Under these conditions, any government or political leader would have already negotiated an exit, but Nicolas Maduro, Venezuela’s Castroist Chavist dictator, does NOT do it because his decisions have nothing to do with the interests of the Venezuelan people. Maduro responds to the interests of Cuba’s Castroist dictatorship, to whom -from ever- he owes the power and by whom he is controlled and directed. The extreme permanence of dictatorship in Venezuela is determined by a foreign power that is called Cuba.
Besides losing the economic revenues for its survival by losing Venezuela the Cuban dictatorship is losing:
1. Its most important international center of influence that has enabled it to expand into international organizations such as the UN.
2. Its most important contact and support center in its relationship with Islamic and worldwide terrorism.
3. Its most important official narcotics’ trafficking hub that it has built and operates with Colombia’s FARC’s cocaine and Evo Morales’ coca-grower unions from Bolivia.
4. Its center for the protection, logistics, and training of criminal forces such as the FARC and ELN, and others that threaten Colombia, Ecuador, and other countries.
5. The geo-political point wherein -up to now- it concentrates the greatest number of Cuban forces overseas, and many more other loses that experts can add.
From the Castroist analytical perspective, a negotiated removal of dictator Maduro, would grant a quick and relatively easy victory to the United States and its declared enemies from the Group of Lima and the European Parliament, aggravating and accelerating the crises that are already on-going in the dictatorships of Nicaragua, Bolivia, and Cuba itself, where growing signs of citizen revolt are seen. This is why its strategy in Venezuela is to prolong and resist, at all cost.
The dictator’s resistance and permanence at all cost, is the model with which Castroism has kept itself in power for over 60 years and the results are the best guarantee to convince its operator in Venezuela. There is no reason to change that now, moreover since Maduro has taken and kept himself in power practically since the death of Hugo Chavez with this radicalized system in which there are no political costs, they are not willing to assume. It is about the ruthless application of the most extreme criminal means; wrongful imprisonment, torture, crime, bribery, extortion, exile, humanitarian crisis, assassination of reputation, gagging the press, fake news, practically everything.
The longer the forced permanency of dictator Maduro is prolonged, the more possibilities Castroism hopes to have for its international accomplices (because protecting crime is complicity) to have an opening of a “dialog”, or to manipulate “elections” or to promote a “humanitarian action” maintaining Maduro, or to do something to “slacken” the pressure and then deceive again. Winning time is the objective by all means, including threats and destabilization of democratically elected governments who back Guaido.
In the Castroist’s logic; when Venezuela’s dictator finally gets removed, it is much better to have gotten to that point with Nicolas Maduro sacrificed, because they are in need of a “victim of imperialism” narrative that could also serve, for some time, to stop or prolong the battle for freedom and democracy in Cuba through international propaganda.
Published in Spanish by Infobae.com on Sunday, February 3rd. 2019
Translated from Spanish by; Edgar L. Terrazas, member of the American Translators’ Association, ATA # 234680.